Normalised 10 day mean temperature anomaly

Below we show the forecast of the normalised mean temperature anomaly for the next 10 days. The forecast starts at 00Z of the day indicated in the figure. The anomaly is with respect to the climatological mean temperature. The forecast was obtained by applying a regression equation to the ensemble mean 1000-500 hPa thickness. The contours are 0.43 multiples of the standard deviation.